Hawthorn
Coalition-held. Held by the Liberal Party on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 1.7.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
Climate-200 ind. (Ibuki) running
Who is standing
- Clive Crosby Labor
-
John Pesutto Liberal Sitting member - Kylie Rocha The Greens
- Paul Pribilovics One Nation
- Shima Ibuki Independent
- Tess McEnearney Victorian Socialists
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Hawthorn is not one of them. Its rank of 32 rests on the evidence beside it instead.
Elsewhere
Parties and organisations the research places here. Not a recommendation.
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.