The seats to watch in Victoria this November
The Swing Is On
By The Swing Is On (Australian election modelling, polling & forecasts), 5 September 2026. Also using the site's poll tracker (theswingison.com/track-polls/vic26) and model (theswingison.com/model-swings/vic26).
record src_theswingison_20260905
Quoted from this source 2 passages
“The winning probability assigned to the leading party in each seat reflects how many of 5,000 randomised simulations resulted in a seat win — simulations that first estimate vote swings based on the current polling aggregate compared to actual 2022 primary votes, then apply the site's preference distribution engine.”
“The site's headline call for Victoria: Coalition minority government if an election were held today (avg. 37.3 / 88 seats).”
Relied on by 3 pages
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