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Terrain

Sydenham

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 8.8.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Retiring; O-N target

Member

Hutchins (Labor). The 2026 note above records a retiring member.

ABC

Who is coming for it

One Nation (Coalition outside)

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

9 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Ashleigh Vandenberg Independent
  • Joh Bauch One Nation
  • Maggie Jane The Greens
  • Maria Kerr Independent
  • Matthew De Angelis Independent
  • Nancy Batres-Croes Family First
  • Nathalie Moussi Liberal
  • Shania Khan Victorian Socialists
  • Uros Rasic Labor

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

13.5% — the probability The Swing Is On’s simulation model gave the leading party in this seat, as at its 5 September 2026 aggregate. A low figure means the model expects the seat to change hands.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Retiring (Hutchins); O-N 55.5% win chance

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.