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Terrain

Sunbury

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 6.4.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

The research records no 2026 note for Sunbury — not a finding that nothing is happening here.

Member

Bull (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

Coalition or O-N

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

5 candidates announced · 1 photographed · 4 with a party logo instead

  • Adam Bremner Victorian Socialists
  • Elita Dabrowski One Nation
  • Josh Bull, Labor candidate for Sunbury. Josh Bull Labor Sitting member
  • Lauren Granger-Brown The Greens
  • Simmone Cottom Liberal

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Sunbury is not one of them. Its rank of 9 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

ABC 22 Aug names it; O-N running

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.