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Terrain

Ripon

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 3.0.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

O-N + NAT + LIB all running

Member

Haylett (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

O-N / NAT / LIB

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

7 candidates announced · 1 photographed · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Donna Buxton One Nation
  • Jeff Barry Libertarian
  • Jo Armstrong The Nationals
  • Martha Haylett, Labor candidate for Ripon. Martha Haylett Labor Sitting member
  • Megan Read Liberal
  • Taylah Brennan-Jones Victorian Socialists
  • Tim Drylie The Greens

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Ripon is not one of them. Its rank of 11 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Crowded three-way; O-N 2nd-best target

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.