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Terrain

Ringwood

Labor-held. Held by an independent on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 7.5.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Fowles retiring

Member

Fowles (Independent). The 2026 note above records a retiring member.

ABC

Who is coming for it

Coalition

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Amy Mills The Greens
  • Jack Gardner Victorian Socialists
  • John O'Connor One Nation
  • Nick McGowan Liberal
  • Prue Cutts Independent
  • Rachel Halse Labor

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Ringwood is not one of them. Its rank of 15 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Coalition 56.1% win chance; Fowles retiring

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.