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Terrain

Northcote

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 0.2 v GRN — decided by less than a point.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Greens target

Member

Theophanous (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

Greens

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

4 candidates announced · 4 with a party logo instead

  • Campbell Gome The Greens
  • Kat Theophanous Labor Sitting member
  • Kath Larkin Victorian Socialists
  • Lynda Awad Liberal

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Northcote is not one of them. Its rank of 27 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

O-N candidate running; Greens 59.2% (model)

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

Parties and organisations the research places here. Not a recommendation.

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.