Nepean
Coalition-held. Held by the Liberal Party on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 6.4.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
O-N 24.5% at May 2026 by-election
Who is coming for it
The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.
Who is standing
-
Anthony Marsh Liberal Sitting member - Darren Hercus One Nation
- Kim Robbins Independent
- Mike Brown Family First
- Seth Willcocks Victorian Socialists
- Sianan Healy The Greens
- Tamara Champion Animal Justice
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Nepean is not among them.
Elsewhere
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.