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Terrain

Narre Warren North

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 8.7.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

The research records no 2026 note for Narre Warren North — not a finding that nothing is happening here.

Member

Wilson (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

Coalition

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Belinda Wilson Labor Sitting member
  • Hayley Perry The Greens
  • Josh Utoyo Libertarian
  • Lachlan McCracken Victorian Socialists
  • Sebastian Crutchfield One Nation
  • Shemane Nathanielsz Liberal

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Narre Warren North is not one of them. Its rank of 23 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

No separate evidence line is recorded for this seat.

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.