Terrain

Seats · Northern Victoria · Coalition-held

Murray Plains

Coalition-held. Held by the Nationals on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 23.4.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Retiring; O-N running

Member

Walsh (Nationals). The 2026 note above records a retiring member.

ABC

Who is coming for it

The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

5 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Brett Hosking The Nationals
  • Christine Grundy Labor
  • Garner Smith One Nation
  • Hamish Bethune Victorian Socialists
  • Zoe Cook The Greens

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Murray Plains is not among them.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

No separate evidence line is recorded for this seat.

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.