Morwell

Coalition-held. Held by the Nationals on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 4.4.

ABC Tally Room Wikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

O-N strongest 2022 (6.1%)

Member

Cameron (Nationals). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

One Nation

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room

Who is standing

4 candidates announced · 4 with a party logo instead

Casey Murphy One Nation
Martin Cameron The Nationals Sitting member
Rochelle Hine The Greens
Tracie Lund Labor

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABC VEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Morwell is not one of them. Its rank of 29 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

O-N's best 2022 result (6.1%); power-station closure

ABC Ace Strategies

Where it sits

Morwell is one of the 11 Legislative Assembly districts that make up the Eastern Victoria Region, which elects five members to the Legislative Council. The region covers 44,420 km².

2022 Council result

Lib 1 (Heath), ALP 2 (McIntosh, Shing), Nat 1 (Bath), SFF 1 (Bourman)

VEC

The district

Morwell filled in, among all 88 districts. Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to pan, double-click to go in and back out. Boundaries: Vicmap State Assembly Polygon 2022, simplified for drawing. Vicmap

Held by, challenged by

Holding Nationals Cameron, since the 2022 election.
Challenging One Nation A projected challenger, not a confirmed nomination.

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room Wikipedia

Are you in this seat?

The percentage is how much of each postcode’s enrolment falls in this district.

3844 23,090 voters · 99% Blackwarry, Callignee, Callignee North, Callignee South, Carrajung and 10 more
3825 14,935 voters · 90% Aberfeldy, Amor, Caringal, Coalville, Erica and 17 more
3840 12,171 voters · 96% Driffield, Hazelwood, Hazelwood North, Hazelwood South, Jeeralang and 3 more
3842 3,740 voters · 100% Churchill
3854 1,029 voters · 85% Glengarry, Glengarry North, Glengarry West

VEC Vicmap

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.