Mornington
Coalition-held. Held by the Liberal Party on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 0.7 v IND.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
The research records no 2026 note for Mornington — not a finding that nothing is happening here.
Who is coming for it
The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.
Who is standing
- Adrian Maher Independent
- Ashli Beards One Nation
-
Chris Crewther Liberal Sitting member - Gene Brownlie Victorian Socialists
- Kai Titcher The Greens
- Kerry Macdonald Labor
- Melissa Goffin Independent
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Mornington is not among them.
Elsewhere
Parties and organisations the research places here. Not a recommendation.
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.