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Terrain

Mordialloc

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 8.2.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

The research records no 2026 note for Mordialloc — not a finding that nothing is happening here.

Member

Richardson (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

Coalition

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Alex Breskin The Greens
  • Mahee Hossain Victorian Socialists
  • Nadia Ticehurst One Nation
  • Paul O'Halloran Liberal
  • Rachel Versteegen Libertarian
  • Tim Richardson Labor Sitting member

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Mordialloc is not one of them. Its rank of 20 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

No separate evidence line is recorded for this seat.

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.