Monbulk

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 7.6.

ABC Tally Room Wikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

O-N running

Member

De Martino (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 4 with a party logo instead

Adrian Dowell One Nation
Alyssa Wormald Animal Justice
Clare Fitzmaurice Liberal
Craig Manners Family First
Daniela De Martino Labor Sitting member
Merran Blair The Greens

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABC VEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Monbulk is not among them.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

No separate evidence line is recorded for this seat.

ABC Ace Strategies

Where it sits

Monbulk is one of the 11 Legislative Assembly districts that make up the Eastern Victoria Region, which elects five members to the Legislative Council. The region covers 44,420 km².

2022 Council result

Lib 1 (Heath), ALP 2 (McIntosh, Shing), Nat 1 (Bath), SFF 1 (Bourman)

VEC

The district

Monbulk filled in, among all 88 districts. Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to pan, double-click to go in and back out. Boundaries: Vicmap State Assembly Polygon 2022, simplified for drawing. Vicmap

Held by, challenged by

Holding Labor De Martino, since the 2022 election.
Challenging Not named in the research

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room Wikipedia

Are you in this seat?

The percentage is how much of each postcode’s enrolment falls in this district.

3156 10,027 voters · 35% Ferntree Gully, Lysterfield, Lysterfield South, Upper Ferntree Gully
3160 6,847 voters · 100% Belgrave, Belgrave Heights, Belgrave South, Tecoma
3782 6,071 voters · 100% Avonsleigh, Clematis, Emerald, Macclesfield
3158 5,128 voters · 100% Upwey
3781 3,268 voters · 100% Cockatoo, Mount Burnett, Nangana
3793 2,795 voters · 100% Monbulk
3159 1,978 voters · 100% Menzies Creek, Selby
3783 1,838 voters · 100% Gembrook
3154 1,619 voters · 50% The Basin
3788 1,355 voters · 100% Olinda
3786 1,160 voters · 100% Ferny Creek
3791 1,141 voters · 100% Kallista
3767 960 voters · 100% Mount Dandenong
3766 957 voters · 98% Kalorama
3787 801 voters · 100% Sassafras
3795 793 voters · 80% Silvan
3792 781 voters · 100% The Patch
3139 510 voters · 5% Beenak, Don Valley, Hoddles Creek, Launching Place, Seville and 5 more
3765 509 voters · 10% Montrose
3155 329 voters · 2% Boronia
3804 304 voters · 5% Narre Warren East, Narre Warren North
3137 231 voters · 2% Kilsyth, Kilsyth South
3789 213 voters · 100% Sherbrooke
3785 53 voters · 100% Tremont
3812 38 voters · 2% Maryknoll, Nar Nar Goon, Nar Nar Goon North

VEC Vicmap

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.