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Terrain

Mill Park

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 11.6.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Retiring; O-N target

Member

D'Ambrosio (Labor). Lily D'Ambrosio is not recontesting the seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

One Nation

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Arthur Tsoutsoulis One Nation
  • Binoy Zacharias The Greens
  • Elizabeth Nealy Labor
  • Eve Levens Animal Justice
  • Jesse Lambourn Victorian Socialists
  • Joel Drysdale Liberal

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Mill Park is not one of them. Its rank of 14 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Retiring; O-N 53.9% win chance

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.