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Terrain

Mildura

Coalition-held. Held by the Nationals on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 1.2 v IND.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Cupper (IND) + O-N running

Member

Benham (Nationals). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

One Nation / IND

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

5 candidates announced · 4 with a party logo instead

  • Ali Cupper Independent
  • Guy Cooper One Nation
  • Jade Benham The Nationals Sitting member
  • Katie Clements The Greens
  • Renee Nayef Victorian Socialists

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Mildura is not one of them. Its rank of 30 rests on the evidence beside it instead.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Cupper returning; Farrer precedent

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.