Terrain

Seats · Western Victoria · Labor-held

Melton

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 4.6.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Retiring; O-N 2nd target

Member

McGhie (Labor). The 2026 note above records a retiring member.

ABC

Who is coming for it

One Nation (Coalition outside)

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 4 with a party logo instead

  • Broden Borg Labor
  • Fiona Adin-James Animal Justice
  • Jarrod Bingham Liberal
  • Marlene West Family First
  • Matthew Katselis One Nation
  • Veronika Levchenkova The Greens

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

1.3% — the probability The Swing Is On’s simulation model gave the leading party in this seat, as at its 5 September 2026 aggregate. A low figure means the model expects the seat to change hands.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

ABC 22 Aug names it in danger; O-N 83.5% win chance

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.