Macedon

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 9.5.

ABC Tally Room Wikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

Retiring

Member

Thomas (Labor). The 2026 note above records a retiring member.

ABC

Who is coming for it

(Coalition/O-N)

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room

Who is standing

8 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

Annette Death Labor
Catherine Wilson Victorian Socialists
Damien Parolin One Nation
Dom Bonanno Independent
Kate Kendall Liberal
Marley McRae McLeod The Greens
Michael Seton Independent
Natalie Korinfsky Animal Justice

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABC VEC

Incumbent win chance

30.9% — the probability The Swing Is On’s simulation model gave the leading party in this seat, as at its 5 September 2026 aggregate. A low figure means the model expects the seat to change hands.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

Labor's 12th-weakest seat = loss of majority

ABC Ace Strategies

Where it sits

Macedon is one of the 11 Legislative Assembly districts that make up the Northern Victoria Region, which elects five members to the Legislative Council. The region covers 102,170 km².

2022 Council result

Lib 1 (Lovell), ALP 1 (Symes), Nat 1 (Broad), AJP 1 (Purcell), ON 1 (Tyrrell)

VEC

The district

Macedon filled in, among all 88 districts. Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to pan, double-click to go in and back out. Boundaries: Vicmap State Assembly Polygon 2022, simplified for drawing. Vicmap

Held by, challenged by

Holding Labor Thomas, since the 2022 election.
Challenging (Coalition/O-N) A projected challenger, not a confirmed nomination.

The Swing Is On ABC Roy Morgan Tally Room Wikipedia

Are you in this seat?

The percentage is how much of each postcode’s enrolment falls in this district.

3437 9,584 voters · 100% Bullengarook, Gisborne, Gisborne South
3444 7,094 voters · 95% Barfold, Baynton, Baynton East, Edgecombe, Glenhope and 16 more
3442 6,719 voters · 100% Ashbourne, Cadello, Carlsruhe, Cobaw, Hesket and 4 more
3434 4,760 voters · 100% Cherokee, Kerrie, Romsey, Springfield
3461 3,639 voters · 96% Bullarto, Bullarto South, Clydesdale, Coomoora, Denver and 23 more
3431 3,482 voters · 100% Riddells Creek
3435 2,515 voters · 97% Benloch, Goldie, Lancefield, Nulla Vale
3460 2,227 voters · 100% Basalt, Daylesford
3438 2,087 voters · 100% New Gisborne
3458 2,023 voters · 100% Barrys Reef, Blackwood, Fern Hill, Little Hampton, Newbury and 3 more
3440 1,548 voters · 100% Macedon
3441 1,111 voters · 100% Mount Macedon
3446 968 voters · 100% Drummond North, Malmsbury
3448 797 voters · 100% Elphinstone, Metcalfe, Sutton Grange
3447 453 voters · 100% Taradale
3756 356 voters · 3% Chintin, Darraweit Guim, Upper Plenty, Wallan
3451 352 voters · 7% Barkers Creek, Campbells Creek, Chewton, Chewton Bushlands, Faraday and 10 more
3340 323 voters · 2% Bacchus Marsh, Balliang, Balliang East, Coimadai, Darley and 8 more
3341 313 voters · 25% Dales Creek, Greendale, Korobeit, Myrniong, Pentland Hills
3430 222 voters · 94% Clarkefield
3433 165 voters · 100% Monegeetta
3432 145 voters · 100% Bolinda

VEC Vicmap

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.