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Terrain

Greenvale

Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 7.1.

ABCTally RoomWikipedia

What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat

2026 note

The research records no 2026 note for Greenvale — not a finding that nothing is happening here.

Member

Walters (Labor). No retiring member is recorded for this seat.

ABC

Who is coming for it

The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.

The Swing Is OnABCRoy MorganTally Room

Who is standing

6 candidates announced · 5 with a party logo instead

  • Chris Moore One Nation
  • Declan McGinness The Greens
  • Iwan Walters Labor Sitting member
  • Jim Overend Liberal
  • Kirill Smelov Victorian Socialists
  • Rosanna Furina Animal Justice

Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC

Incumbent win chance

No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Greenvale is not among them.

The Swing Is On

Evidence

No separate evidence line is recorded for this seat.

ABCAce Strategies

Elsewhere

The full pendulum The players

Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.