Cranbourne
Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 9.0.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
O-N 56.1% in model
Who is standing
- Andrew Hirst One Nation
- Annalise Mercer The Greens
- Gino Tripodi Liberal
- Pauline Richards Labor Sitting member
- Reem Yunis Victorian Socialists
- Shane Foreman Family First
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Cranbourne is not one of them. Its rank of 13 rests on the evidence beside it instead.
Elsewhere
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.