Clarinda
Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 10.2.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
The research records no 2026 note for Clarinda — not a finding that nothing is happening here.
Who is coming for it
The research does not name a projected challenger for this seat.
Who is standing
- Caroline White Independent
- Conor Boyd-Eedle The Greens
- Gavin Bain One Nation
- John Paganis Liberal
- Kit Message Victorian Socialists
- Liam Roche Libertarian
- Meng Heang Tak Labor Sitting member
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model runs an incumbent win figure for the seven districts on its own list, and Clarinda is not among them.
Elsewhere
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.