Box Hill
Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 7.2.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
The research records no 2026 note for Box Hill — not a finding that nothing is happening here.
Who is standing
- Aaron Qin The Greens
- Heena Sinha Cheung Independent
- Jamie Baker One Nation
-
Paul Hamer Labor Sitting member - Peter Fagg Family First
- Sally Houguet Liberal
- Saravina Afaj Victorian Socialists
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
35.8% — the probability The Swing Is On’s simulation model gave the leading party in this seat, as at its 5 September 2026 aggregate. A low figure means the model expects the seat to change hands.
Elsewhere
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.