Bellarine
Labor-held. Held by Labor on a two-candidate-preferred margin of 8.5.
What is happening herethe 2026 record for this seat
2026 note
The research records no 2026 note for Bellarine — not a finding that nothing is happening here.
Who is standing
- Alison Marchant Labor Sitting member
- Callum Whitehead Liberal
- Dom Williams Socialist Alliance
- Mitch Pope The Greens
- Ronan Keogh Victorian Socialists
- Ross McRae One Nation
Announced candidacies as the ABC's candidate tracker records them. Nominations close 9 November 2026, so this list can change; it is not a ballot paper and the order carries no meaning. ABCVEC
Incumbent win chance
No probability is published for this seat — the model gives a winning figure for seven districts this cycle, and Bellarine is not one of them. Its rank of 18 rests on the evidence beside it instead.
Elsewhere
Where no player is listed, the research places none here — a gap in the record, not a seat with no activity.