The Campaign that Wasn't: Tracking Public Opinion over the 44th Parliament and the 2016 Election Campaign (Jackman & Mansillo, 2018)
Simon Jackman & Luke Mansillo, "The Campaign that Wasn't: Tracking Public Opinion over the 44th Parliament and the 2016 Election Campaign" (in *Double Disillusion*, ANU Press)
Finding abstract. Using a Bayesian dynamic latent-opinion model fitted to 400 national polls between the 2013 and 2016 federal elections (plus seat-specific polling), the authors make four major findings:
record src_jackman_mansillo_2018
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“questionable given the available evidence”
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