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2026 Victorian Election Pendulum

Antony Green's Election Blog

· antonygreen.com.au

*(Editorial note: the author's update reads "Three days after this post was published, Jacinta Allan was replaced as Premier by Ben Carroll. The post has been left as originally published." — so the text refers to Jacinta Allan as Premier throughout.)*

record src_antonygreen_pendulum

Open the original at antonygreen.com.au

Quoted from this source 3 passages

  • “The lesson from South Australia is that preference flows between One Nation and the Liberal Party are weaker than between Labor and the Greens. Despite a recommendation, Liberal preferences flowed only around 65% to One Nation. Despite no recommendation, One Nation preferences were around 70% to Liberal.”

  • “Despite a recommendation, Liberal preferences flowed only around 65% to One Nation. Despite no recommendation, One Nation preferences were around 70% to Liberal.”

  • “One Nation outpolled the Liberal Party 22.9% to 18.9% though a more concentrated Liberal vote delivered the party five seats to One Nation's four.”

Relied on by 3 pages

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